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WOP Oak Tree
Conditional Probability of Survival Book Cover
Beta Estimates for Valuation and Cost of Capital Book Cover
Life Expectancy Based Remainder Perpetuity Present Value Factors Book Cover

Book Series

Published quarterly, this series of books provides betas, up-market betas and down-market betas of common stocks, preferred stocks, and mutual funds.  The data for common stocks and preferred stocks are grouped by SIC codes.  The data for mutual funds are provided by peer groups.  Unlike other reference books that usually include only the average or median betas, these books also include different percentiles to provide the reader with additional information to value companies more precisely.  Valuation analysts would find these books helpful when conducting valuation of companies in different industries.

This volume provides 18 different demographic conditional probabilities of death tables calculated based on values from the most recent NCHS Life Tables.  Each table provides probabilities of dying at some future point in time conditioned on a ‘Current Age’ between 0 and 99 plus a group ages 100 and over.  The values for any given column sum to the value of one.  Thus, older individuals have higher conditional probabilities of death at a given future age than younger individuals will have at the same given future age.  This is an in-depth extension of the marginal probabilities of death contained in the NCHS Life Tables.  The 18 demographics match the 18 demographics from the NCHS Life Tables.

This volume contains 18 different cumulative probabilities of survival tables.  Based on values from the most recent NCHS Life Tables, these tables of cumulative survival probabilities are a useful and time-saving resource for forensic economists, valuation experts and attorneys.  Cumulative survival probabilities are provided for every ‘Current Age’ at every ‘Future Age’ between 0 and 99, plus a group ages 10 and over.

This 3-volume work provides 18 different demographic tables for remainder perpetuity present value factors for secondary beneficiaries.  The factors in these tables have been calculated relying on the traditional estimation of life expectancy.  The tables are arranged specifically so that a factor can be found by using a demographic and current age of the primary beneficiary as well as any combination of discount and growth rates (for all discount rates between 1% and 30%).

This 3-volume work provides 18 different demographic tables for remainder perpetuity present value factors which can be used to estimate the present value of a remainder perpetuity for secondary beneficiaries given a demographic and current age of the primary beneficiary as well as any combination of discount and growth rates (for all discount rates between 1% and 30%).  These factors have been calculated considering the conditional probabilities of death (found in the Age-Based Conditional Probabilities of Death for the same year) rather than the traditional estimation of life expectancy.  The use of conditional probabilities of death produces more accurate factors.  Factors based on the traditional life expectancy generates vastly under-estimated present values of remainder perpetuities.

These volumes will help you determine the sample size you need for a given population size and desired margin of error.  Each volume provides sample size illustrations with corresponding confidence intervals and margins of error at the 80, 85, 90, 95, or 99 percent confidence levels.

These particular tables are calculated using the “population adjusted hypergeometric distribution” (sometimes called “hypergeometric distribution”).  The calculations are performed using a variation of the Clopper-Pearson exact method to calculate confidence intervals. 

Population sizes in these books range from one to 500.  All integer population sizes are included between one to 250 after which the population size increases by 10 up to 500.

These volumes are designed to help with a specific kind of sample, one in which each member can be assigned into one of two groups (defective or not, good or bad, working or unemployed, married or single, yes or no, liked or disliked, etc.)

 

Sample sizes in this book range from one to 4,500 for determining sample size illustrations and one to 250 for determining confidence intervals and margins of error.

These volumes are designed to help with a specific kind of sample, one in which each member can be assigned into one of two groups (defective or not, good or bad, working or unemployed, married or single, yes or no, liked or disliked, etc.)

 

Sample sizes in this book range from one to 4,500 for determining sample size illustrations and one to 250 for determining confidence intervals and margins of error.

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